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Josh Allen vs. Justin Herbert vs. Patrick Mahomes

  • Entering the Deebo Samuel Jersey 2022 fantasy football season, three quarterbacks stand out above the rest: Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, and Patrick Mahomes. These three signal-callers sit in the top tier of our and are the first QBs going off draft boards.Allen stood out as the best last season, scoring a total of 417.58 fantasy points in 17 games, but it's fair to wonder if he can continue his dominance.Herbert and Mahomes werent too far behind Allen, ama sing 395.76 points and 374.22 points, respectively. All three QBs ended the fantasy season averaging at least 22 fantasy points per game and look to mirror that production this year.DOMINATE YOUR DRAFT: Below, we'll dive into the cases for each to be the first quarterback selected before ultimately coming to a verdict on who should be No. 1 and where you should draft them.If you're interested in more help while drafting, check outRotoBaller's premium "Who To Draft?" tool, which they've made available to SN Fantasy readers forfree.Use and get acce s to all their award-winning, game-changing tools, stats, and analysis.2022 STANDARD RANKINGS: | | | | | | | Josh Allen vs. Justin Herbert vs. Patrick Mahomes: Who's the best fantasy QB?Josh AllenAllen has finished as the overall QB1 in back-to-back seasons and has a real shot to lead all QBs in scoring for a third consecutive year. Buffalo is pegged as the betting favorites to win Super Bowl LVII (+600), and the expectation around the Joe Staley Jersey league is for Allen to continue his dominant play. Allens ADP (around 24) is about a round higher than Herbert and Mahomes, as hes clearly separated himself from the other 31 starting QBs in terms of his fantasy value.While he won't have OC Brian Daboll around to scheme the offense, new OC and ex-QB coach Ken Dorsey has already built up trust and a strong rapport with Allen. Buffalos tailored offensive system helped Allen sit atop the league in red-zone pa sing (129) and rushing attempts (32) in 2021. Allen also logged the second-most air yards (5,583) and fantasy points per dropback (0.62). He has has three solid WRs (Stefon Diggs, Gabriel Davis, Jamison Crowder), a good TE (Dawson Knox), and capable receiving backs (Devin Singletary, James Cook). All of this is baked into his ADP, but its worthwhile to understand exactly what separates Allen from other QBs.Its tough to find anything to knock Allen on, but thinking down the line, Buffalos late-season games wont be played in pretty weather, limiting Allens ceiling for big games in arguably the most important weeks in the fantasy season. Buffalos last six games of the season feature six outdoor matchups, with three of the games being played in Buffalo and the other three held in New England, Chicago, and Cincinnati.Additionally, Buffalo increased its run rate by nearly four percentage points from its season average over its final three games in 21. They also sat in the top half of the league in run rate in home games (43.32 percent). While theres certainly much more context that factors into that number, mainly game script, its an interesting tidbit to keep note of when drafting Allen. Herbert and Mahomes likely wont be playing in as bad of weather down the stretch, but that's a very minor point in their Kentavius Street Jersey favors (if it is at all).The only real worry with Allen is whether he'll keep running at his current rate. Virtually all "mobile" QBs run le s as they get older. We saw dramatic decreases in rushing output from Kyler Murray, Ru sell Wilson, and Dak Prescott last year. Allen can still be the No. 1 fantasy QB with 421 rushing yards like he had in '20, but if he's that far below last season's 763-yard mark, he won't be worth as high of an overall pick.No one will fault you for selecting Allen as your QB1 unle s you reach for him in Round 1 or early Round 2 in 12-team leagues. If Allen is there at the very end of the second round or into the third, he yields sufficient value.2022 PPR RANKINGS: | | | | | | | Justin HerbertAfter ending last year as the overall QB2, Herbert hopes to put forth his most complete season yet. During his sophomore campaign, Herbert logged the third-most air yards (5275), pa sing TDs (38), and red-zone carries (23). He doesnt po se s the same rushing prowe s Allen does, as he ran for just 302 yards in 2021 (10th among QBs), which slightly limits his ceiling.Despite averaging 3.7 carries per game (17th among QBs), his volume did tick up in the red zone, as he ranked fifth among QBs in red-zone carries per game (1.4). Herberts likely to see a higher rushing TD output in 22 given he scored just three rushing TDs (ninth among QBs) on 23 red-zone carries. Herbert had two more rushing TDs during his rookie season on four fewer red-zone rushes, showcasing touchdown variance on a year-to-year basis.Fantasy owners can realistically bank on another 5,000-yard season from the rocket-armed QB, as the Chargers' pa s-heavy offense is catered toward Herberts strengths. Theres a real shot he contends with Allen for QB1 status in the fantasy world, as Los Angeles threw at the fifth-highest rate in the league last season and features a bevy of solid pa s-catchers (Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Joshua Palmer, Austin Ekeler).Herbert and the Chargers' schedule during the fantasy playoffs isnt remotely easy, as they face the Titans, Colts, and Rams from Weeks 15-17, but at least these games will be Dante Pettis Jersey played under fair weather conditions, unlike Allens fantasy playoffs schedule.2022 FANTASY SLEEPERS: | | | | | Patrick MahomesMahomes enters 2022 with Kansas City toward the top of the league in vacated targets following the departures of Tyreek Hill, Demarcus Robinson, and Byron Pringle. The Chiefs' front office tried its hand at rea sembling their WR corps, bringing in JuJu Smith-Schuster, Marques Valdez-Scantling, and rookie Skyy Moore. Kansas Citys three new WRs should mesh well over time, but theres not much continuity in this group of pa s catchers entering the season outside of Travis Kelce and Mecole Hardman.Despite playing two more games in 21, Mahomes put up similar numbers to his 15-game output in 20. He threw for just 99 more yards with the exact same completion percentage (66.3). He to sed one fewer Bradley Pinion Jersey TD for an average of 3.4 fewer fantasy points per game. Mahomes also saw a decline in his rushing carries per game, which was a theme among most of the QBs last season, but it still results in fewer points fantasy owners can bank on week-to-week.Mahomes is still as consistent as its comes in the production department, but at the end of the day, ADP is the biggest deciding factor. At his early ADP, hes not really worth a third-round pick given the small deviation between the other QBs available in the later rounds.Its fair to expect Mahomes to potentially start off slowly with a new receiving corps. You cant deny his skill set a
      August 15, 2022 7:41 PM PDT
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